Caselas vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 1
CRU
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOM
0 - 0
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 3
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 1
POR
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |