Case-Pilote vs Emulation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
CLU
5 - 1
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
GOO
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RCR
1 - 1
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAS
48%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 4
NSD
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
EMU
3 - 0
GOO
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
EMU
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
EMU
1 - 0
EUC
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESS
1 - 1
EMU
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EMU
1 - 1
RCS
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |