Casasimarro vs La Felipa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 2
INB
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UDT
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIL
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Felipa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LRO
3 - 0
FLP
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AJU
1 - 3
FLP
39%
21%
39%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FLP
4 - 1
CHA
37%
21%
42%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALM
3 - 0
FLP
60%
19%
21%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FLP
0 - 5
ALA
21%
18%
61%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |