Casasimarro vs Atletico Jareño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CMG
2 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAN
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
CVA
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Jareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
CON
20%
19%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
DBA
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
4 - 0
BON
31%
23%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |