Casasimarro vs Atletico Jareño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ELB
1 - 0
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
OMA
84%
11%
6%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
ALP
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BON
5 - 3
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Jareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 1
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ABA
0 - 3
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
TAR
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |