Casale vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 2
ROM
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 1
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
JUV
6 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 0
BRE
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
JUV
4 - 0
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
TOR
1 - 1
USA
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
TOR
4 - 1
FIO
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |