Cartagena CF vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
4 - 1
CAR
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 0
BUR
74%
15%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 0
MUR
27%
22%
52%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FER
5 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALI
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
0 - 1
MUR
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
IMP
74%
14%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
3 - 0
ALI
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ELC
4 - 1
IMP
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
BUR
5 - 0
IMP
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |