Carshalton Athletic vs Barking analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
19%
21%
61%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
ENF
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HOR
4 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
HOR
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
COR
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barking
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASH
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
SIT
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 0
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WES
0 - 1
BAR
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 1
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |