Carroi vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
9º
9º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UES
3 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
8 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 6
INT
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCO
4 - 0
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
SCO
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
INT
4 - 2
PEN
61%
21%
17%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 1
PEN
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAC
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |