Carrick Rangers vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
6º
6º
31
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
GLE
17%
24%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
7 - 0
NEW
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 4
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |