Carrarese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TUT
0 - 1
CAR
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAV
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
0 - 0
TUT
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 2
LAQ
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SPA
22%
29%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ANC
28%
29%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 2
LAQ
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |