Carrarese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 3
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 2
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
PAD
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |