Carrarese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEC
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARZ
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ABN
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPE
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VAR
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |