North Carolina vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
GTR
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRW
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
RGV
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
GTR
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
RSL
0 - 1
NCO
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
NCO
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RIC
1 - 1
NCO
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
NCO
42%
23%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NMU
2 - 2
NCO
47%
22%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |