Carmelita vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADC
1 - 1
LDA
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CSC
2 - 1
ADC
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
LFC
2 - 0
ADC
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ADC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
ADC
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSC
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 1
LFC
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
SAP
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |