Carmarthen Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
PRE
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TNS
6 - 0
PRE
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 3
TNS
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 1
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
TNS
3 - 0
PEN
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
TNS
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |