Welsh Premier League Ronda Descenso Jor. 5

Carmarthen Town vs Rhyl FC analysis

Carmarthen Town Rhyl FC
57 ELO 50
11.7% Tilt 12.1%
5399º General ELO ranking 19454º
29º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Carmarthen Town
20.4%
Draw
16.7%
Rhyl FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
Carmarthen Town
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.7%
Win probability
Rhyl FC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carmarthen Town
-40%
-1%
Rhyl FC

ELO progression

Carmarthen Town
Rhyl FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
CAR
Carmarthen Town
0 - 1
Bangor City
BAN
49%
24%
27%
56 55 1 0
27 Feb. 2016
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
2 - 4
Carmarthen Town
CAR
48%
24%
28%
56 56 0 0
12 Feb. 2016
POR
Port Talbot Town
0 - 2
Carmarthen Town
CAR
41%
25%
34%
56 54 2 0
16 Jan. 2016
CAR
Carmarthen Town
1 - 1
Rhyl FC
RHY
54%
23%
24%
55 53 2 +1
05 Jan. 2016
BAL
Bala Town
2 - 1
Carmarthen Town
CAR
61%
22%
17%
55 65 10 0

Matches

Rhyl FC
Rhyl FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2016
RHY
Rhyl FC
1 - 1
Haverfordwest County
HAV
58%
22%
20%
52 46 6 0
12 Feb. 2016
RHY
Rhyl FC
0 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
39%
25%
36%
53 55 2 -1
29 Jan. 2016
BAN
Bangor City
4 - 3
Rhyl FC
RHY
59%
21%
19%
53 56 3 0
16 Jan. 2016
CAR
Carmarthen Town
1 - 1
Rhyl FC
RHY
54%
23%
24%
53 55 2 0
01 Jan. 2016
BAL
Bala Town
0 - 0
Rhyl FC
RHY
67%
20%
14%
53 65 12 0
X