Carmarthen Town vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
RHY
54%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
53%
22%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAN
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
4 - 3
RHY
59%
21%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
HAV
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |