Perú - Liga 1 Fase 2 round 9

CA Manucci vs Atlético Grau analysis

CA Manucci Atlético Grau
64 ELO 73
-2.6% Tilt 5.8%
2051º General ELO ranking 1079º
19º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
30%
CA Manucci
27.6%
Draw
42.5%
Atlético Grau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
CA Manucci
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.5%
Win probability
Atlético Grau
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CA Manucci
+6%
+14%
Atlético Grau

Points and table prediction

CA Manucci
Their league position
Atlético Grau
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
18º
13º
32
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario de Deportes
37
37
100%
Alianza Lima
36
36
100%
Sporting Cristal
34
34
100%
Atlético Grau
32
32
100%
FBC Melgar
32
32
100%
Cusco FC
31
31
100%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
30
30
100%
Cienciano
26
26
100%
ADT de Tarma
23
23
0%
Deportivo Garcilaso
10º
23
23
10º
0%
Sport Huancayo
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Los Chankas
12º
18
18
12º
100%
CA Manucci
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Sport Boys Association
14º
16
16
14º
100%
UTC Cajamarca
15º
15
15
15º
100%
Comerciantes Unidos
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Univ. César Vallejo
17º
10
10
17º
100%
Unión Comercio
18º
8
8
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CA Manucci
Atlético Grau
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

CA Manucci
Atlético Grau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CA Manucci
CA Manucci
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2024
SBO
Sport Boys Association
2 - 6
CA Manucci
MAN
53%
24%
23%
62 67 5 0
18 Aug. 2024
SRP
Los Chankas
1 - 1
CA Manucci
MAN
68%
19%
13%
62 70 8 0
11 Aug. 2024
MAN
CA Manucci
1 - 2
Cienciano
CIE
26%
26%
48%
62 72 10 0
04 Aug. 2024
SPC
Sporting Cristal
4 - 0
CA Manucci
MAN
77%
15%
8%
63 78 15 -1
01 Aug. 2024
MAN
CA Manucci
3 - 2
ADT de Tarma
ADT
19%
25%
56%
61 77 16 +2

Matches

Atlético Grau
Atlético Grau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2024
AGP
Atlético Grau
1 - 1
Los Chankas
SRP
50%
25%
25%
73 70 3 0
17 Aug. 2024
CIE
Cienciano
1 - 0
Atlético Grau
AGP
45%
27%
28%
73 72 1 0
11 Aug. 2024
AGP
Atlético Grau
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
30%
25%
45%
72 78 6 +1
04 Aug. 2024
ADT
ADT de Tarma
1 - 2
Atlético Grau
AGP
53%
25%
21%
72 77 5 0
31 Jul. 2024
AGP
Atlético Grau
3 - 0
Comerciantes Unidos
COM
50%
24%
26%
71 68 3 +1