Carlisle United vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 3
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 0
TRA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 2
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STF
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
LUT
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
STE
3 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 0
STE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
STE
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
STF
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |