Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
BCF
2 - 0
CUM
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
CUM
2 - 0
GIL
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
MAN
1 - 2
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CUM
2 - 1
SCU
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
HAR
1 - 1
GUL
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
FUL
1 - 0
HAR
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
HAR
1 - 1
NOR
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CHE
2 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
HAR
2 - 1
DON
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |