EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-6
Carlisle United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CUM
2 - 1
LEY
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
CUM
2 - 1
PLY
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
HAR
0 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
CUM
3 - 3
DAR
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
ROT
3 - 1
CUM
65%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
0 - 1
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
WAT
1 - 0
GRI
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1999 |
GRI
0 - 0
WOL
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
TRA
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 0
GRI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |