Carlisle United vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
2 - 0
CUM
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 2
WOL
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 0
CUM
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 4
BRI
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MKD
0 - 1
CUM
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HED
1 - 2
CRA
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
CRA
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STE
2 - 0
CRA
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 3
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |