Carlisle United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 0
CUM
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 0
KID
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 5
CUM
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
STF
2 - 1
CUM
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRO
2 - 1
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |