Cariñena Atl. vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariñena Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
SDB
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAR
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 3
ATL
43%
25%
33%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ICF
2 - 0
MOR
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 3
ICF
22%
24%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 2
ICF
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ICF
3 - 0
ACF
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
ICF
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |