Cardiff MU vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CEF
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
6 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |