Championship round 41

Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Cardiff City Bolton Wanderers
68 ELO 69
4.6% Tilt -2.2%
1231º General ELO ranking 535º
Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Cardiff City
25.2%
Draw
24.5%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
Cardiff City
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
REA
Reading
1 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
48%
26%
27%
69 68 1 0
21 Mar. 2015
CAR
Cardiff City
2 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
54%
24%
22%
68 65 3 +1
17 Mar. 2015
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
32%
26%
42%
68 76 8 0
14 Mar. 2015
BRE
Brentford
1 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
54%
24%
22%
68 69 1 0
07 Mar. 2015
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 2
Charlton Athletic
CHA
57%
24%
19%
69 65 4 -1

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
72%
18%
10%
68 51 17 0
21 Mar. 2015
WIG
Wigan Athletic
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
38%
28%
34%
68 65 3 0
17 Mar. 2015
IPS
Ipswich Town
1 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
49%
26%
25%
69 70 1 -1
14 Mar. 2015
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Millwall
MIL
70%
20%
11%
69 55 14 0
11 Mar. 2015
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
55%
24%
21%
69 74 5 0