Cardiff City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
CAR
0 - 0
HUR
44%
24%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
EVE
1 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARS
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
SHW
1 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
BIR
3 - 6
BUR
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 2
WHU
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 4
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |