Carapinheirense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
3%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
UDL
10%
19%
72%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
PAM
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
8 - 0
ANM
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FAT
3 - 2
OLE
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 3
FAT
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |