Caracas vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 1
CFC
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
PDA
2 - 2
CFC
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CFC
3 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 0
CFC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MET
0 - 0
LAR
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MET
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |