Cup Paulista Fase de Grupos round 8

Capivariano vs Primavera SP analysis

Capivariano Primavera SP
51 ELO 55
-0.4% Tilt -0.5%
3581º General ELO ranking 3482º
108º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Capivariano
25.8%
Draw
31.8%
Primavera SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
Capivariano
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.8%
Win probability
Primavera SP
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Capivariano
-19%
+20%
Primavera SP

ELO progression

Capivariano
Primavera SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Capivariano
Capivariano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 1
Capivariano
CAP
16%
21%
63%
51 39 12 0
20 Jul. 2024
CAP
Capivariano
0 - 0
São Bento
SAO
43%
25%
32%
51 55 4 0
13 Jul. 2024
CAP
Capivariano
1 - 1
RB Bragantino U23
RBB
56%
21%
23%
51 44 7 0
30 Jun. 2024
PRI
Primavera SP
2 - 1
Capivariano
CAP
39%
26%
36%
52 53 1 -1
22 Jun. 2024
CAP
Capivariano
2 - 1
Rio Branco SP
RIO
76%
15%
9%
52 37 15 0

Matches

Primavera SP
Primavera SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2024
PRI
Primavera SP
3 - 2
Rio Branco SP
RIO
69%
20%
11%
55 39 16 0
13 Jul. 2024
PRI
Primavera SP
2 - 0
São Bento
SAO
38%
28%
34%
54 56 2 +1
06 Jul. 2024
RBB
RB Bragantino U23
0 - 4
Primavera SP
PRI
29%
25%
47%
54 45 9 0
30 Jun. 2024
PRI
Primavera SP
2 - 1
Capivariano
CAP
39%
26%
36%
53 52 1 +1
15 Jun. 2024
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 0
Primavera SP
PRI
18%
26%
56%
53 36 17 0