CAP Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.5%
77.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
27.1%
0-2
20.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.3%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
3 - 1
CAP
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
4 - 0
CAP
74%
17%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MIN
3 - 0
CAP
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAR
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAP
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 2
MIN
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 2
IMP
91%
7%
2%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHU
2 - 1
LOR
10%
22%
68%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
EGP
91%
8%
2%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAZ
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |