Cantolagua vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
12º
7º
6
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 69 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 66 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 64 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 50 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 38 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 31 |
18º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 27% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19.5% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDA
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 1
CAN
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
GAR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAN
5 - 1
OBE
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAM
1 - 0
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
UDM
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UDM
7 - 0
ROT
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BET
0 - 1
UDM
16%
22%
63%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 2
DAC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UDM
4 - 0
HUA
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |