Canberra Cosmos vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCO
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 0
SOU
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 1
CCO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 4
BRI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
ADE
1 - 0
CCO
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
PER
3 - 2
MEL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
4 - 0
WAD
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |