Gold Cup CONCACAF Estados Unidos Quarter-finals

Canada vs Martinique analysis

Canada Martinique
81 ELO 59
-16.1% Tilt -13.9%
244º General ELO ranking 2007º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.4%
Canada
15.3%
Draw
7.3%
Martinique

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
Canada
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.3%
Win probability
Martinique
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Canada
+3%
+4%
Martinique

ELO progression

Canada
Martinique
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Canada
Canada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2002
CAN
Canada
0 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
26%
27%
47%
82 87 5 0
18 Jan. 2002
HTI
Haiti
0 - 2
Canada
CAN
27%
27%
46%
81 73 8 +1
14 Nov. 2001
MLT
Malta
2 - 1
Canada
CAN
18%
25%
58%
82 52 30 -1
04 Jun. 2001
CMR
Cameroon
2 - 0
Canada
CAN
47%
26%
27%
82 83 1 0
02 Jun. 2001
CAN
Canada
0 - 0
Brazil
BRA
1%
7%
92%
81 100 19 +1

Matches

Martinique
Martinique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2002
TTO
Trinidad and Tobago
0 - 1
Martinique
MTQ
86%
10%
4%
57 81 24 0
18 Jan. 2002
MTQ
Martinique
0 - 2
Costa Rica
CRC
4%
15%
81%
57 87 30 0
24 May. 2001
MTQ
Martinique
1 - 0
Cuba
CUB
21%
25%
54%
56 70 14 +1
22 May. 2001
HTI
Haiti
5 - 0
Martinique
MTQ
70%
18%
12%
57 71 14 -1
19 May. 2001
TTO
Trinidad and Tobago
1 - 2
Martinique
MTQ
86%
10%
4%
55 81 26 +2
X