Canada vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1984 |
CHN
5 - 1
CAN
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1984 |
COG
0 - 2
CAN
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1984 |
CAN
3 - 1
NGA
54%
22%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
CAN
0 - 2
ITA
10%
23%
68%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
HND
1 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
CHL
0 - 0
ENG
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
0 - 0
CHL
32%
30%
38%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CHL
2 - 0
URY
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1983 |
CHL
5 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |