Campbelltown City vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
2º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
59.5% | 40.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
40.5% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campbelltown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAM
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAM
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 1
CAM
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAM
4 - 2
WHI
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
CAM
26%
25%
48%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MOD
10%
13%
77%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 4
ADE
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 1
MOD
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 0
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |