National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Cambridge United vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
CAM
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 2
CAM
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 0
GUL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAM
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 2
RFC
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
CAM
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
4 - 4
EXE
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
KID
4 - 1
BUR
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
STE
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
HAL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |