Liga 3 Grupo B round 4

Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital analysis

Caldas Oliveira Hospital
46 ELO 40
-4.3% Tilt -7.4%
5192º General ELO ranking 6169º
83º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Caldas
22.5%
Draw
19.3%
Oliveira Hospital

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Caldas
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
Oliveira Hospital
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Caldas
Their league position
Oliveira Hospital
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
14
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético CP
25
32
52%
Académica
23
30
24.5%
Os Belenenses
22
29
31%
1º Dezembro
24
28
19.5%
União Santarém
18
25
15.5%
Sporting CP II
18
25
22.5%
Caldas
20
24
19%
SC Covilha
15
21
40.5%
Oliveira Hospital
14
18
48%
Lusitânia
10º
10
14
10º
78%
Expected probabilities
Caldas
Oliveira Hospital
Promotion play-offs
25.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
74.5% 100%

ELO progression

Caldas
Oliveira Hospital
Sporting CP II
Os Belenenses
Lusitânia
Académica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caldas
Caldas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2024
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 0
Caldas
CAL
48%
24%
28%
46 46 0 0
11 Aug. 2024
CAL
Caldas
1 - 0
Lusitânia
LUS
33%
25%
42%
45 49 4 +1
02 Aug. 2024
BEL
Os Belenenses
2 - 1
Caldas
CAL
62%
21%
18%
45 50 5 0
27 Jul. 2024
CAL
Caldas
0 - 2
Mafra
MAF
12%
19%
69%
45 65 20 0
21 Jul. 2024
CAL
Caldas
4 - 1
FC Alverca II
FCA
59%
22%
20%
45 36 9 0

Matches

Oliveira Hospital
Oliveira Hospital
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2024
OLI
Oliveira Hospital
1 - 1
Académica
ACA
20%
23%
57%
41 50 9 0
11 Aug. 2024
SCP
Sporting CP II
1 - 1
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
69%
18%
13%
40 48 8 +1
04 May. 2024
OLI
Oliveira Hospital
2 - 0
Pêro Pinheiro
PER
57%
23%
19%
39 34 5 +1
28 Apr. 2024
CAL
Caldas
1 - 1
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
60%
22%
18%
38 44 6 +1
13 Apr. 2024
SCP
Sporting CP II
1 - 1
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
70%
19%
12%
38 47 9 0