Caldas vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
8º
4º
13
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 31 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 29 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 28 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 27 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 27 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 25 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 19 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 17 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
43.5% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
MAF
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 1
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
ACA
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
PER
57%
23%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
OLI
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLI
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |