Caldas vs G.D.R. Gafetense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 1
CAL
22%
25%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAF
27%
30%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 0
GDR
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
ANG
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
GDR
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
0 - 1
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
GDR
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |