Caldas vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 3
SCP
11%
17%
73%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 0
LGC
41%
23%
36%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 3
FCP
10%
16%
74%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 3
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
FAB
5 - 3
ORI
64%
19%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
FAB
7 - 1
VST
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
SAL
4 - 0
FAB
71%
15%
14%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |