Serie A round 29

Padova vs Torino analysis

Padova Torino
74 ELO 77
-10.1% Tilt -30.8%
820º General ELO ranking 31º
42º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
51.4%
Padova
23.8%
Draw
24.8%
Torino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
Padova
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
Torino
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Padova
+7%
-4%
Torino

ELO progression

Padova
Torino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 1957
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Padova
PAD
61%
22%
17%
74 74 0 0
07 Apr. 1957
PAD
Padova
1 - 1
Bologna
BOL
42%
25%
34%
74 81 7 0
31 Mar. 1957
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 0
Padova
PAD
53%
25%
22%
74 72 2 0
24 Mar. 1957
PAD
Padova
1 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
60%
21%
19%
74 69 5 0
17 Mar. 1957
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
67%
20%
14%
74 80 6 0

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 1957
TOR
Torino
3 - 2
SPAL
SPA
57%
23%
20%
76 76 0 0
07 Apr. 1957
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Torino
TOR
49%
24%
27%
77 73 4 -1
31 Mar. 1957
TOR
Torino
5 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
63%
21%
17%
76 68 8 +1
24 Mar. 1957
INT
Inter
3 - 0
Torino
TOR
68%
18%
14%
77 84 7 -1
17 Mar. 1957
TOR
Torino
4 - 1
Juventus
JUV
39%
25%
36%
75 82 7 +2