Serie C Jor. 18

Padova vs SPAL analysis

Padova SPAL
59 ELO 58
-11.9% Tilt 0.5%
1623º General ELO ranking 2076º
47º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
49.4%
Padova
26.6%
Draw
24%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
Padova
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24%
Win probability
SPAL
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Padova
-15%
-12%
SPAL

ELO progression

Padova
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2001
ACL
Lumezzane
5 - 1
Padova
PAD
41%
26%
34%
60 56 4 0
16 Dec. 2001
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Spezia
SPE
43%
27%
31%
59 62 3 +1
09 Dec. 2001
VAR
Varese
1 - 1
Padova
PAD
43%
27%
30%
59 59 0 0
02 Dec. 2001
PAD
Padova
1 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
53%
26%
21%
59 56 3 0
25 Nov. 2001
CES
Cesena
1 - 1
Padova
PAD
57%
23%
20%
59 64 5 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2001
ARZ
SS Arezzo
1 - 2
SPAL
SPA
45%
27%
28%
58 54 4 0
16 Dec. 2001
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Lumezzane
ACL
54%
24%
23%
58 56 2 0
09 Dec. 2001
ALV
Alzano Virescit
0 - 1
SPAL
SPA
39%
27%
34%
57 49 8 +1
02 Dec. 2001
SPA
SPAL
2 - 0
Cesena
CES
40%
28%
32%
56 64 8 +1
25 Nov. 2001
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
SPAL
SPA
39%
30%
31%
57 56 1 -1
X