Padova vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAD
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 3
PAD
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 3
LEC
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
5 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 0
USF
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |