Padova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
67.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
83%
11%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
LEO
5 - 1
PAD
65%
18%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
GEN
8 - 0
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
2 - 3
BOL
14%
17%
69%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
INT
6 - 1
PAD
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ACM
0 - 1
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ACM
5 - 2
USC
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 1
ACM
19%
19%
62%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |