Padova vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
23.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIV
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
31%
31%
38%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 1
LEC
53%
28%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LIV
62%
25%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |