Padova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
12%
22%
66%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PAD
3 - 0
SAL
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
PAD
0 - 0
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
PES
0 - 1
PAD
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FIO
1 - 1
EMP
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |