Padova vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PRO
3 - 1
PAD
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
RIM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAR
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |