Padova vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PAD
4 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
SAV
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
REG
0 - 3
PIS
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
REG
3 - 2
FCC
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
ASS
0 - 0
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |