Padova vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 0
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACP
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ACP
0 - 2
RIM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACP
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
ACP
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |